Boston Red Sox vs LA Dodgers Prediction, Odds & Player Props (Saturday, July 20)
by Brady Trettenero in MLB Baseball
Updated Jul 20, 2024 · 7:05 PM PDT
Jul 19, 2024; Los Angeles, California, USA; Los Angeles Dodgers first base Freddie Freeman (5) celebrates after hitting a grand slam home run in the eighth inning against the Boston Red Sox at Dodger Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Jayne Kamin-Oncea-USA TODAY SportsWe’ve made our Red Sox vs Dodgers prediction for Saturday’s interleague showdownThe Dodgers are slight -134 favorites with the Red Sox at +113 underdogsRead below for Red Sox vs Dodgers prediction, odds, props and injury report for July 20th
The Boston Red Sox (53-43) continue their west coast road trip with the second game of a three-game series against the Los Angeles Dodgers (57-41) on Saturday, July 20 at Dodger Stadium. First pitch is scheduled for 7:15 p.m. ET and the game will be nationally televised on FOX.
The Dodgers opened as -134 moneyline favorites with the Red Sox at +113 underdogs. The over/under for total runs scored is set at 8.
We’ve made our Dodgers vs Red Sox prediction for Saturday, taking a fancy to the underdog.
Red Sox vs Dodgers Prediction Saturday
The Dodgers took the series opener on Friday night 4-1 behind a grand slam from Freddie Freeman in the 8th inning. It was a rare win for Los Angeles, who surprisingly are just a .500 team (24-24) since May 20 despite being 16 games over .500 at that point.
Meanwhile, the loss dropped the Red Sox to 5.5 games behind the Orioles in the AL East. However, Boston has still won 10 of their last 14 games overall and are an impressive 29-17 on the road this season.
The havoc continues. pic.twitter.com/HVbHHuDeIi
— Red Sox (@RedSox) July 19, 2024
Saturday’s pitching matchup features two young starters – Brayan Bello (10-5, 5.32 ERA) for Boston and Justin Wrobleski (0-1, 6.30 ERA) for Los Angeles.
Bello has struggled with consistency but has been much better on the road, going 6-2 with a 4.59 ERA away from Fenway Park. The 24-year-old righty is also coming off a strong outing, allowing just 3 runs over 6.1 innings in a win over the Royals.
BelloVSWrobleski
10-5 Record 0-1 5.32 ERA 6.30 89.2 IP 10 1.47 WHIP 1.40 8.5 K/9 7.2 Wrobleski, the Dodgers’ #14 prospect, will be making just his 3rd career start. The lefty has allowed four runs in each of his first two outings, lasting five innings both times. He’s also been hit hard, giving up 4 home runs already.
With Bello’s road success and Wrobleski still adjusting to the big leagues, the Red Sox should have the pitching advantage in this one. Look for their potent offense, which ranks in the top 10 in most major categories, to do damage against the rookie southpaw.
BOS-LA Pick:
Red Sox ML (+113)
Red Sox vs Dodgers Odds Saturday
Team Moneyline Run Line Total Red Sox +113 +1.5 (-186) Over 8 (-115) Dodgers -134 -1.5 (+155) Under 8 (-105) The Dodgers are favored on the moneyline at -134, implying a 57.3% probability they win the game. Conversely, the Red Sox are +113 underdogs, indicating they have a 46.9% chance of pulling off the road upset.
Los Angeles being favored makes sense considering they have the best home record in baseball at 35-16. The Dodgers also lead MLB in runs scored, slugging percentage and OPS. LA remains favored in the 2024 World Series odds.
FREDDIE GRAND SLAM! pic.twitter.com/uvS5cSXtj7
— Los Angeles Dodgers (@Dodgers) July 20, 2024
However, the Red Sox are dangerous underdogs. They have the 6th-best road record at 29-18 and rank in the top 5 in slugging and OPS. The moneyline odds are close because both offenses are elite.
The run line odds further reflect how evenly matched these teams are. LA -1.5 (+155) are slight underdogs to cover, while the Red Sox +1.5 (-186) are heavy favorites to keep it within a run.
The over/under of 8 feels a tad low considering these are two of the highest-scoring lineups in baseball facing vulnerable starters. With the over juiced to -115, oddsmakers are bracing for a potential slugfest at Dodger Stadium.
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Odds as of Saturday, July 20, 2024. Check out Fanatics sports betting to wager on Red Sox vs Dodgers tonight.
Red Sox vs Dodgers Props
Here are a few player prop bets to consider for Saturday’s game:
Rafael Devers Over 0.5 Home Runs (+340)
Devers leads the Red Sox with 23 HR and faces a rookie lefty in Wrobleski, who has already served up four long balls in 2 starts. At +340, this is great value on Boston’s best power hitter.
Freddie Freeman Over 1.5 Total Bases (+105)
Freeman delivered the decisive blow Friday with a grand slam. He has great career numbers vs Bello (6-for-9) and the Over 1.5 bases is basically even money for the former MVP.
Justin Wrobleski Over 3.5 Earned Runs (+115)
The rookie has allowed 4 ER in each of his first two starts. The Red Sox lead MLB in OPS vs LHP, so Wrobleski could be in for another rough outing. Over 3.5 at plus odds has value.
Red Sox vs Dodgers Injury Report
Neither team has any new injuries to report after Friday’s series opener. However, both clubs have some key players currently on the shelf:
Red Sox:
2B Trevor Story (shoulder)INF Triston Casas (rib)INF/OF Kiké Hernández (hip)P Tanner Houck (back)P Chris Sale (shoulder)
Dodgers:
RF Mookie Betts (hand)UTIL Max Muncy (oblique)P Clayton Kershaw (elbow)P Julio Urías (hamstring)P Noah Syndergaard (finger)P Dustin May (elbow)
The Red Sox are missing their starting middle infield with Story and Hernández out. Super utility man Kiké would be especially valuable in this interleague series.
For the Dodgers, not having Betts’ bat at the top of the lineup is a huge loss. Muncy’s pop will also be missed. Their rotation has been hit hard by injuries and will need to rely on young arms like Wrobleski to step up.
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