Pittsburgh Steelers vs Las Vegas Raiders Same Game Parlay Picks for SNF
by Sascha Paruk in NFL Football
Updated Sep 25, 2023 · 10:49 AM PDT
Sep 17, 2023; Orchard Park, New York, USA; Las Vegas Raiders running back Josh Jacobs (8) makes a catch against the Buffalo Bills during the second half at Highmark Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Gregory Fisher-USA TODAY SportsThe Steelers and Raiders meet on Sunday Night Football in Week 3The Raiders have only scored 27 points, combined, in their first two gamesSee my favorite Steelers vs Raiders same-game parlay picks for tonight’s game in Las Vegas
The Pittsburgh Steelers (1-1, 0-0 away) face their first road test of the season in primetime tonight when they visit the Las Vegas Raiders (1-1, 0-0 home), who will be playing in front of their home fans at Allegiant Stadium for the first time this year.
Kickoff is slated for 8:20 pm ET/5:20 pm PT and Las Vegas is listed as a 2.5-point home favorite in the Steelers vs Raiders odds. The total has been set at a relatively low 43 and tonight’s same-game parlay is going to bank these anemic offenses continuing to struggle.
Steelers vs Raiders Same-Game Parlay Picks
Content:
TogglePick | Odds |
---|---|
First Quarter Under 7.5 | -128 |
Davante Adams Under 76.5 Receiving Yards | -112 |
First Half Under 21.5 | -110 |
SAME-GAME PARLAY ODDS | +306 |
Today’s Pittsburgh vs Las Vegas same-game parlay starts with a first-quarter under, continues with the under on Davante Adams’ receiving yards, and ends with a correlated bet on the first-half under.
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PIT vs LV Same-Game Parlay Pick #1: First Quarter Under 7.5
Through eight quarters this season, neither of the offenses involved in today’s game have generated much reason for optimism. PFF grades the Steelers’ attack as the very worst in the 32-team NFL. They also sit 32nd in DVOA.
The Raiders, meanwhile, are tied for deadlast in points scored through two weeks with just 27 (13.5 PPG) and rank 24th in DVOA. Jimmy Garoppolo has a respectable 72.0 completion percentage, but has only thrown for 385 yards through two games on just 50 pass attempts. Head coach Josh McDaniels and OC Mick Lombardi have employed a fairly run-heavy attack with lead back Josh Jacobs getting 28 of the Raiders’ 44 rush attempts so far. Don’t expect that to change against Pittsburgh’s top-five pass rush. Las Vegas is going to come out with a run-heavy approach and this first-quarter clock is going to drain away quickly.
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Steelers vs Raiders SGP Pick #2: Davante Adams Under 76.5 Receiving Yards
In keeping with the trend discussed above, Davante Adams is likely to stay under his receiving-yard total of 76.5 in the Steelers vs Raiders props. Adams went over that number in Week 1 (86 yards) when the Raiders were chasing the game against the Buffalo Bills (a 38-10 loss) and then stayed under in Week 2 (66 yards) when Las Vegas edged out a slugfest against the Denver Broncos (17-16).
Tonight’s game is likely to look a lot more like the Denver game than the Buffalo game. The Raiders actually had more rush attempts (29) than pass attempts (26) in the win over the Broncos, whereas they had 10 more pass attempts than rush attempts against Buffalo. Yet, if you check out all the available NFL player props, Adams receiving-yards number is 26.5 yards higher than any other player in this game.
As long as this game is close, or Las Vegas has a big lead, Vegas will stick with the run. And when you factor in how awful Kenny Pickett and the Pittsburgh offense have been, it’s highly unlikely that we’ll see any other script.
Steelers vs Raiders SGP Pick #3: First Half Under 21.5
This is a correlated play with the first-quarter under. The fact that they are so correlated means that bettors will not get the same boost in their parlay odds than if it was uncorrelated, but adding the first-half under 21.5 as a third leg does take this particular parlay from +205 to +306. If the first quarter does stay under 7.5 points, then the teams would need to generate at least three scores in the second quarter to get over 21.5 before halftime.
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